Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoganas vs Ullareds IK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 game between Hoganas and Ullareds IK finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ullareds IK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hoganas
15%
Draws
0%
Ullareds IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoganas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ullareds IK come out ahead of Hoganas on wins alone.
  • Hoganas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Ullareds IK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hoganas Clean Sheet 14%
Ullareds IK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoganas Ullareds IK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Ullareds IK
1:5
Apr 2, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Ullareds IK vs Hoganas
2:1
Nov 13, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Ullareds IK vs Hoganas
5:2
Sep 4, 2021 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Ullareds IK
3:1
Jul 1, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Ullareds IK vs Hoganas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoganas 66 / 100
Ullareds IK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoganas Ullareds IK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoganas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullareds IK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Ullareds IK has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hoganas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoganas VS Ullareds IK
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoganas

(Home)
15 Oct
Torslanda
5 : 2
Hoganas
08 Oct
Hoganas
1 : 3
Onsala
01 Oct
Assyriska BK
3 : 2
Hoganas
24 Sept
Landvetter
4 : 0
Hoganas
17 Sept
Hoganas
2 : 2
Husqvarna
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Ullareds IK

(Away)
15 Oct
Assyriska BK
1 : 0
Ullareds IK
08 Oct
Ullareds IK
0 : 4
Savedalen
01 Oct
Ullareds IK
1 : 2
Hittarp
23 Sept
Torslanda
3 : 0
Ullareds IK
17 Sept
Ullareds IK
0 : 4
Onsala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eskilsminne 26 21 1 4 62:15 64
2 BK Astrio 26 19 4 3 74:30 61
3 Husqvarna 26 17 6 3 50:16 57
4 Frolunda 26 16 4 6 49:32 52
5 Onsala 26 13 6 7 58:32 45
6 Savedalen 26 12 6 8 55:45 42
7 Hittarp 26 13 3 10 59:50 42
8 Torslanda 26 8 7 11 48:48 31
9 Varbergs GIF 26 8 4 14 37:54 28
10 Landvetter 26 8 3 15 36:46 27
11 Tolo IF 26 6 6 14 31:61 24
12 Assyriska BK 26 4 5 17 20:58 17
13 Hoganas 26 3 4 19 28:70 13
14 Ullareds IK 26 4 1 21 22:72 13
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)