Sport Picks
Hogar Alcarreno vs La Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
Hogar Alcarreno host La Roda in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022. Hogar Alcarreno go into this one as the clear favorite. La Roda have shipped 3.07 goals a game lately, while Hogar Alcarreno have conceded 2.57 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor Hogar Alcarreno slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 2.06, favoring Hogar Alcarreno. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hogar Alcarreno have won more games recently than La Roda.
- Win probability leans Hogar Alcarreno's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hogar Alcarreno | La Roda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 21 | 30 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 3.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Roda let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.
La Roda's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Hogar Alcarreno found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hogar Alcarreno
(Home)La Roda
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71:19 | 77 |
| 2 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 63:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Illescas | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 53:25 | 64 |
| 5 | Torrijos | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 50:30 | 60 |
| 6 | Conquense | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 49:30 | 56 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:38 | 55 |
| 8 | Azuqueca | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 55:40 | 54 |
| 9 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 50:26 | 54 |
| 10 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 12 | Albacete B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:40 | 44 |
| 13 | UD Almansa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 52:56 | 37 |
| 15 | San Clemente | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | 36 |
| 16 | Miguelturreno | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 35:67 | 25 |
| 17 | Hogar Alcarreno | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 29:90 | 17 |
| 18 | La Roda | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0:102 | 0 |
