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Hogar Alcarreno vs San Clemente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Clemente in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Clemente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Hogar Alcarreno
30%
Draws
58%
San Clemente
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Clemente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Clemente lately — more wins on the board than Hogar Alcarreno.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hogar Alcarreno Clean Sheet 19%
San Clemente Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogar Alcarreno San Clemente
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hogar Alcarreno vs San Clemente
1:2
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Clemente vs Hogar Alcarreno
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogar Alcarreno 32 / 100
San Clemente 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogar Alcarreno San Clemente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Clemente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Hogar Alcarreno scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

San Clemente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 37 matches.

Hogar Alcarreno has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Clemente
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogar Alcarreno

(Home)
30 Apr
Illescas
2 : 0
Hogar Alcarreno
23 Apr
Hogar Alcarreno
2 : 2
Villacanas
10 Apr
Manchego Ciudad Real
6 : 1
Hogar Alcarreno
02 Apr
Hogar Alcarreno
0 : 3
Conquense
27 Mar
UD Almansa
3 : 2
Hogar Alcarreno
Page 1 of 6

San Clemente

(Away)
04 Oct
Huracan de Balazote
3 : 5
San Clemente
27 Sept
San Clemente
0 : 2
Villacanas
19 Sept
La Solana
4 : 0
San Clemente
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)