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Hogges vs Baltimore Bohemians

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2013
Fri, Jun 28, 2013
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hogges host Baltimore Bohemians in the USL Premier Development League 2013. This one's hard to separate. Hogges have averaged 1.06 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Baltimore Bohemians's 1.68 scored and 1.77 conceded. Head-to-head, Hogges have won 1 to Baltimore Bohemians's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2013, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 0.99, favoring Baltimore Bohemians. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hogges
15%
Draws
42%
Baltimore Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hogges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Baltimore Bohemians have won more games recently than Hogges.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hogges Clean Sheet 20%
Baltimore Bohemians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogges Baltimore Bohemians
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2013 USL League Two
Hogges vs Baltimore Bohemians
0:0
Jul 8, 2012 USL League Two
Hogges vs Baltimore Bohemians
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogges 31 / 100
Baltimore Bohemians 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogges Baltimore Bohemians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogges scored in 63% of their last 16 games.

Baltimore Bohemians let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hogges remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baltimore Bohemians
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogges

(Home)
16 Jul
Hogges
3 : 1
Westchester Flames
08 Jul
Hogges
2 : 1
Baltimore Bohemians
06 Jul
Hogges
3 : 1
Long Island
01 Jul
Ocean City
4 : 0
Hogges
29 Jun
Reading
4 : 0
Hogges
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Baltimore Bohemians

(Away)
17 Jul
Ocean City
3 : 2
Baltimore Bohemians
15 Jul
Baltimore Bohemians
4 : 0
LVU Rush
08 Jul
Ocean City
0 : 2
Baltimore Bohemians
02 Jul
Reading
4 : 0
Baltimore Bohemians
24 Jun
Baltimore Bohemians
1 : 0
New York Red Bulls U23
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