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Hogges vs Central Jersey Spartans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL Premier Development League 2011
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Premier Development League 2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Hogges
15%
Draws
21%
Central Jersey Spartans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hogges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hogges haven't matched Central Jersey Spartans's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Hogges taking it.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hogges Clean Sheet 20%
Central Jersey Spartans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogges Central Jersey Spartans
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 4 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.06 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2013 USL League Two
Central Jersey Spartans vs Hogges
0:0
Jun 21, 2013 USL League Two
Hogges vs Central Jersey Spartans
0:0
Jun 27, 2012 USL League Two
Central Jersey Spartans vs Hogges
3:1
Jun 17, 2012 USL League Two
Hogges vs Central Jersey Spartans
0:1
Jul 22, 2011 USL League Two
Hogges vs Central Jersey Spartans
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogges 67 / 100
Central Jersey Spartans 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogges Central Jersey Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hogges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Jersey Spartans let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hogges scored in 63% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Hogges has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hogges VS Central Jersey Spartans
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hogges

(Home)
16 Jul
Hogges
3 : 1
Westchester Flames
08 Jul
Hogges
2 : 1
Baltimore Bohemians
06 Jul
Hogges
3 : 1
Long Island
01 Jul
Ocean City
4 : 0
Hogges
29 Jun
Reading
4 : 0
Hogges
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Central Jersey Spartans

(Away)
21 Jul
Central Jersey Spartans
2 : 5
Reading
14 Jul
Central Jersey Spartans
3 : 0
Westchester Flames
12 Jul
NJ-LUSO Parma
3 : 1
Central Jersey Spartans
10 Jul
Euro New York
1 : 0
Central Jersey Spartans
07 Jul
Central Jersey Spartans
1 : 3
Euro New York
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