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Hogo Hertha Wels vs Parndorf

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hogo Hertha Wels play Parndorf in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hogo Hertha Wels averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Parndorf averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Hogo Hertha Wels won 1, Parndorf won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 30, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Hogo Hertha Wels and 2.13 for Parndorf. This points to a Parndorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Hogo Hertha Wels
21%
Draws
41%
Parndorf
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Parndorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Hogo Hertha Wels picked up more points recently compared to Parndorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%
Parndorf Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogo Hertha Wels Parndorf
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.59 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Parndorf
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Radics A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Parndorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Schimandl S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buliga S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogo Hertha Wels 36 / 100
Parndorf 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogo Hertha Wels Parndorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Parndorf or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hogo Hertha Wels attacking → ← attacking Parndorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Parndorf let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Hogo Hertha Wels went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Parndorf lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 58
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25