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Stadium Background

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Nagano Parceiro

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium, Sapporo
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Arano T.
Assist: Takao R.
46'
Sub
Hasegawa Y. In: Kutsuna K.
Out: Hasegawa Y.
57'
Sub
Nakata S. In: Sakai S.
Out: Nakata S.

AI Match Summary

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
30%
Draws
34%
Nagano Parceiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo lately — more wins on the board than Nagano Parceiro.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 20%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Nagano Parceiro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 0
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Nagano Parceiro
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:2
May 22, 2024 J.League Cup
Nagano Parceiro vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:2
Sep 8, 2012 Emperors Cup
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Nagano Parceiro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arano T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakayoko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Nagano Parceiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 36 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Nagano Parceiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nagano Parceiro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Nagano Parceiro
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
18 Jul
Vissel Kobe
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
06 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
31 May
Blaublitz
2 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
23 May
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0 : 1
Iwata
16 May
Fukushima United
0 : 3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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Nagano Parceiro

(Away)
12 Jul
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 3
Iwaki
05 Jun
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
31 May
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
23 May
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Kofu
17 May
Omiya Ardija
1 : 2
Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)