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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija

Japan Japan

J2 League Sapporo Dome, Sapporo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
de Souza Junior C. A.
Assist: Caprini Pinto M.
31' Event
Toyokawa Y.
Assist: Caprini Pinto M.
48'
Toyokawa Y.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Omiya Ardija finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omiya Ardija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
35%
Draws
49%
Omiya Ardija
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Omiya Ardija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo come out ahead of Omiya Ardija on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Omiya Ardija taking it.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 13%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Omiya Ardija
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija
1:4
May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija
4:3
Feb 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vini Peixoto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer de Souza Junior C. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toyokawa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 22 / 100
Omiya Ardija 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Omiya Ardija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Omiya Ardija conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo VS Omiya Ardija
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Home)
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

Omiya Ardija

(Away)
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
2 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
3 Vegalta Sendai 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Omiya Ardija 8 4 4 0 16:7 16
5 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
6 Yokohama FC 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
7 Fujieda MYFC 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
8 Tokushima 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
9 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
10 Oita Trinita 9 2 5 2 9:7 11
11 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
12 Blaublitz 8 2 4 2 11:10 10
13 Tochigi City 9 3 1 5 15:15 10
14 Iwata 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
15 Vanraure 8 3 1 4 5:12 10
16 Iwaki 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
17 Sagan Tosu 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
18 Imabari 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
19 Kofu 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)