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Holbaek vs Holstebro Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holbaek host Holstebro in the 3rd Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Holstebro have shipped 2.41 goals a game lately, while Holbaek have conceded 1.37 and scored 2.57. Head-to-head, Holbaek have won 4 to Holstebro's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.81, favoring Holbaek. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Holbaek
15%
Draws
21%
Holstebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Holbaek have won more games recently than Holstebro.
  • Win probability leans Holbaek's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).
  • Holbaek have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 11%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Holstebro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.57 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Holstebro
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Holbaek vs Holstebro
2:1
Apr 1, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Holbaek
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 83 / 100
Holstebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Holstebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Holstebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Holbaek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS Holstebro
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
25 Sept
Helsingor
5 : 1
Holbaek
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
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Holstebro

(Away)
26 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 3
Ishoj IF
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 9 6 1 2 24:17 19
2 Bronshoj 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Helsingor 9 5 2 2 17:11 17
4 Vanlose 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 ASA Aarhus 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
6 Naesby 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
7 Holstebro 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
8 Sundby 9 3 1 5 14:15 10
9 Horsholm-Usserod 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
10 BK Frem 9 2 2 5 16:18 8
11 Ishoj IF 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
12 Ringsted 9 1 1 7 11:25 4
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)