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Holbaek vs Vanlose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holbaek host Vanlose in the 3rd Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Vanlose have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Holbaek have conceded 1.31 and scored 2.34. Head-to-head, Holbaek have won 3 to Vanlose's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.81) back Holbaek to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Holbaek
35%
Draws
37%
Vanlose
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Vanlose haven't matched Holbaek's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 11%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holbaek Vanlose
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Holbaek
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Vanlose vs Holbaek
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Vanlose
4:1
Sep 20, 2025 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Holbaek
1:3
Apr 6, 2024 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Vanlose
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holbaek 30 / 100
Vanlose 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holbaek Vanlose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vanlose conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Holbaek remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holbaek VS Vanlose
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holbaek

(Home)
10 Oct
Vanlose
0 : 0
Holbaek
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
25 Sept
Helsingor
5 : 1
Holbaek
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
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Vanlose

(Away)
10 Oct
Vanlose
0 : 0
Holbaek
03 Oct
Sundby
0 : 1
Vanlose
26 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 1
Bronshoj
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
13 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 11 7 2 2 26:18 23
2 Bronshoj 11 6 4 1 22:12 22
3 Vanlose 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
4 Helsingor 11 6 2 3 20:15 20
5 Naesby 11 5 2 4 20:16 17
6 ASA Aarhus 11 5 1 5 15:16 16
7 Horsholm-Usserod 11 4 3 4 24:21 15
8 Holstebro 11 4 1 6 18:26 13
9 BK Frem 11 3 3 5 19:19 12
10 Ishoj IF 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
11 Sundby 11 3 1 7 16:19 10
12 Ringsted 11 1 2 8 15:31 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)