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Holland Park Hawks vs Caboolture

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Whites Hill Reserve, Brisbane
Holland Park Hawks Logo

Holland Park Hawks

3 - 5
FT
Caboolture Logo

Caboolture

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Robinson L.
19' Event
Dorman C.
31' Event
Docherty E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Holland Park Hawks and Caboolture finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caboolture.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Holland Park Hawks
20%
Draws
29%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holland Park Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holland Park Hawks come out ahead of Caboolture on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 16%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks Caboolture
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Holland Park Hawks
7:2
May 9, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Caboolture
3:5
Jul 18, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Holland Park Hawks
1:3
Jun 17, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Caboolture
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorman C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seelig H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Robinson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 31 / 100
Caboolture 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks Caboolture

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caboolture Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Caboolture conceded in 97% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Holland Park Hawks has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holland Park Hawks VS Caboolture
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holland Park Hawks

(Home)
15 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
3 : 2
Brisbane Strikers
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3
Robina City
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

Caboolture

(Away)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
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