Sport Picks

Australia

Queensland Premier League Whites Hill Reserve

Holland Park Hawks

3 - 5

Caboolture

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Robinson L.

19'

Dorman C.

31'

Docherty E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Holland Park Hawks and Caboolture finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caboolture.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Holland Park Hawks

20%

Draws

38%

Caboolture

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holland Park Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Holland Park Hawks come out ahead of Caboolture on wins alone.
Model gives Holland Park Hawks a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%

Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%

Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Holland Park Hawks	Caboolture
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.75	2
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Queensland Premier League

Holland Park Hawks vs Caboolture

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

3:5

Jul 18, 2025 Queensland Premier League

Caboolture vs Holland Park Hawks

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Jun 17, 2025 Queensland Premier League

Holland Park Hawks vs Caboolture

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorman C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Seelig H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez O.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Robinson L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 40 / 100

Caboolture 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Holland Park Hawks Caboolture

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Caboolture conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Holland Park Hawks has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holland Park Hawks VS Caboolture

1.75 Goals Scored 2

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadbeach Utd.	18	14	4	0	47:16	46
2	Brisbane Strikers	18	14	3	1	44:14	45
3	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	18	8	5	5	36:24	29
4	Robina City	18	8	4	6	30:20	28
5	Ipswich	18	8	4	6	29:27	28
6	Caboolture	18	8	3	7	35:31	27
7	Redlands	18	7	4	7	35:32	25
8	Holland Park Hawks	18	7	3	8	29:33	24
9	Logan Lightning	18	7	2	9	33:35	23
10	North Star	18	3	3	12	16:37	12
11	St. George Willawong	18	3	1	14	10:41	10
12	Capalaba FC	18	2	2	14	17:51	8