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Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021 Whites Hill Reserve
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holland Park Hawks play Rochedale in the Queensland Premier League 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Holland Park Hawks averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. Rochedale averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Holland Park Hawks won 1, Rochedale won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Holland Park Hawks and 1.88 for Rochedale. This points to a Rochedale double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Holland Park Hawks
17%
Draws
45%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rochedale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Holland Park Hawks picked up more points recently compared to Rochedale.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks Rochedale
Matches Played 34 40
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.85 2.05
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
2:2
Mar 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Holland Park Hawks
2:3
Sep 25, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
3:4
May 22, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Holland Park Hawks
3:0
Nov 13, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 36 / 100
Rochedale 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks Rochedale

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rochedale or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Holland Park Hawks attacking → ← attacking Rochedale

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Rochedale let in goals in 80% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Holland Park Hawks went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rochedale lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 63
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brisbane City20200064:1260
2Rochedale20141557:2643
3SWQ Thunder20132547:3241
4Western Pride20102836:3332
5Ipswich Knights2093841:3530
6Mitchelton20911041:4328
7Southside Eagles2066830:3324
8Sunshine Coast2065933:4023
9Souths20501528:5415
10Holland Park Hawks20331429:5412
11Wynnum Wolves20311618:6210