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Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021 Whites Hill Reserve, Brisbane
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2021 game between Holland Park Hawks and Rochedale finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochedale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Holland Park Hawks
15%
Draws
39%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holland Park Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rochedale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Holland Park Hawks taking it.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holland Park Hawks Rochedale
Matches Played 35 41
Wins 15 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 2.06 2.1
Goals Conceded 2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
2:2
Mar 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Holland Park Hawks
2:3
Sep 25, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
3:4
May 22, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Holland Park Hawks
3:0
Nov 13, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holland Park Hawks 40 / 100
Rochedale 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holland Park Hawks Rochedale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holland Park Hawks scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Rochedale conceded in 83% of 41 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Holland Park Hawks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holland Park Hawks VS Rochedale
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holland Park Hawks

(Home)
15 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
3 : 2
Brisbane Strikers
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3
Robina City
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
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Rochedale

(Away)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane City 20 20 0 0 64:12 60
2 Rochedale 20 14 1 5 57:26 43
3 SWQ Thunder 20 13 2 5 47:32 41
4 Western Pride 20 10 2 8 36:33 32
5 Ipswich Knights 20 9 3 8 41:35 30
6 Mitchelton 20 9 1 10 41:43 28
7 Southside Eagles 20 6 6 8 30:33 24
8 Sunshine Coast 20 6 5 9 33:40 23
9 Souths 20 5 0 15 28:54 15
10 Holland Park Hawks 20 3 3 14 29:54 12
11 Wynnum Wolves 20 3 1 16 18:62 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2021 (Play Offs)