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Holmen vs Assiden

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holmen in this Division 3 - Group 4 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Holmen
15%
Draws
85%
Assiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Assiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Assiden average 1.7 goals a game right now, well clear of Holmen's 1.07.
  • Model gives Assiden a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Holmen Clean Sheet 14%
Assiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holmen Assiden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Holmen vs Assiden
1:0
May 14, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Assiden vs Holmen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holmen 11 / 100
Assiden 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holmen Assiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assiden has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Assiden registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Holmen found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Assiden
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Holmen

(Home)
21 Oct
Holmen
0 : 6
Moss
14 Oct
Oppsal
5 : 0
Holmen
07 Oct
Holmen
0 : 3
Ullern
30 Sept
Vestfossen
3 : 1
Holmen
23 Sept
Holmen
1 : 3
Drobak-Frogn
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Assiden

(Away)
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
26 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Assiden
19 Oct
Assiden
3 : 4
Lillestrom 2
11 Oct
Bjorkelangen
3 : 1
Assiden
05 Oct
Assiden
1 : 5
Lorenskog
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