Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Holon Yermiyahu vs Bnei Eilat

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Asor M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2022/2023 game between Holon Yermiyahu and Bnei Eilat finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holon Yermiyahu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Holon Yermiyahu
20%
Draws
34%
Bnei Eilat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holon Yermiyahu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Holon Yermiyahu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 20%
Bnei Eilat Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holon Yermiyahu Bnei Eilat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.27 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2023 Liga Alef South
Bnei Eilat vs Holon Yermiyahu
2:0
Jan 6, 2023 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Bnei Eilat
1:0
Jan 28, 2022 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Bnei Eilat
1:1
Oct 1, 2021 Liga Alef South
Bnei Eilat vs Holon Yermiyahu
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holon Yermiyahu Compare

Top Goalscorer Asor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Bnei Eilat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holon Yermiyahu 36 / 100
Bnei Eilat 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holon Yermiyahu Bnei Eilat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bnei Eilat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holon Yermiyahu scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bnei Eilat let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Holon Yermiyahu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holon Yermiyahu VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holon Yermiyahu

(Home)
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Ramat Hasharon
27 Feb
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Page 1 of 6

Bnei Eilat

(Away)
21 Apr
Bnei Eilat
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
14 Apr
MS Ironi Kuseife
0 : 3
Bnei Eilat
07 Apr
Ironi Modiin
2 : 0
Bnei Eilat
30 Mar
Bnei Eilat
2 : 3
Beitar Tel Aviv
24 Mar
Hapoel Marmorek
2 : 1
Bnei Eilat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 M. Herzliya 30 19 9 2 69:30 66
2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 18 9 3 57:25 63
3 Maccabi Yavne 30 16 5 9 41:25 53
4 H. Herzliya 30 14 10 6 45:24 52
5 FC Dimona 30 13 12 5 53:32 51
6 Hapoel Bikat Hayarden 30 15 6 9 54:37 51
7 Hapoel Marmorek 30 12 9 9 39:33 45
8 Shimshon Tel Aviv 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
9 Holon Yermiyahu 30 7 13 10 29:42 34
10 MS Ironi Kuseife 30 10 4 16 36:52 34
11 Ironi Modiin 30 8 9 13 40:40 33
12 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 30 7 11 12 29:41 32
13 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 30 7 9 14 28:67 30
14 Maccabi Shaarayim 30 6 9 15 26:39 27
15 Bnei Eilat 30 8 3 19 40:58 27
16 Beitar Tel Aviv 30 4 9 17 28:56 21
Promotion - Leumit League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs 2022/2023 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Alef North 2022/2023 (Relegation)