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Holstebro vs Aarhus II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division West 2009/2010 game between Holstebro and Aarhus II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Holstebro
15%
Draws
49%
Aarhus II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aarhus II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarhus II haven't matched Holstebro's recent run of results.
  • Aarhus II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%
Aarhus II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Aarhus II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2010 2nd Division West
Holstebro vs Aarhus II
1:3
Oct 24, 2009 2nd Division West
Aarhus II vs Holstebro
1:4
Apr 8, 2008 2nd Division West
Aarhus II vs Holstebro
3:2
Sep 2, 2007 2nd Division West
Holstebro vs Aarhus II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 22 / 100
Aarhus II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Aarhus II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Holstebro scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Aarhus II let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Aarhus II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
26 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 3
Ishoj IF
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
Page 1 of 7

Aarhus II

(Away)
06 Jun
Aarhus II
0 : 3
Hobro
02 Jun
Aalborg II
0 : 3
Aarhus II
29 May
Otterup
1 : 0
Aarhus II
26 May
Aarhus II
1 : 4
Aarhus Fremad
22 May
Aarhus II
2 : 2
Varde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vendsyssel FF 30 23 4 3 60:23 73
2 Hobro 30 18 6 6 74:42 60
3 Aarhus Fremad 30 17 8 5 58:37 59
4 Randers Freja 30 16 7 7 53:34 55
5 Jammerbugt 30 15 7 8 49:23 52
6 Odense II 30 14 4 12 56:44 46
7 Svendborg 30 13 7 10 46:42 46
8 Esbjerg II 30 12 8 10 57:44 44
9 Ikast 30 13 4 13 62:60 43
10 Holstebro 30 13 2 15 48:62 41
11 Varde 30 9 4 17 46:56 31
12 Aarhus II 30 8 6 16 36:68 30
13 Tjorring 30 6 7 17 35:66 25
14 Aalborg II 30 6 7 17 32:64 25
15 Naesby 30 6 6 18 44:59 24
16 Otterup 30 4 7 19 38:70 19
Relegation - 2nd Division East 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - 1st Division 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - 2nd Division East 2009/2010 (Play Offs)