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Holstebro vs AB Tarnby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kiilerich A.
19' Event
Steen L.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Rybner M.

AI Match Summary

Holstebro in this 3rd Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holstebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Holstebro
15%
Draws
0%
AB Tarnby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holstebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Holstebro have won more games recently than AB Tarnby.
  • Model gives Holstebro a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%
AB Tarnby Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro AB Tarnby
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.81 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.56 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2023 3rd Division
Holstebro vs AB Tarnby
4:2
May 6, 2023 3rd Division
AB Tarnby vs Holstebro
3:2
Apr 6, 2023 3rd Division
Holstebro vs AB Tarnby
1:4
Aug 13, 2022 3rd Division
AB Tarnby vs Holstebro
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiilerich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lauritsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AB Tarnby Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 38 / 100
AB Tarnby 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro AB Tarnby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AB Tarnby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: AB Tarnby registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Holstebro's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
26 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 3
Ishoj IF
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
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AB Tarnby

(Away)
01 Mar
Bronshoj
3 : 1
AB Tarnby
07 Aug
AB Tarnby
1 : 3
Helsingor
10 Feb
AB Tarnby
1 : 3
Vanlose
27 Jan
BK Frem
5 : 1
AB Tarnby
06 Sept
AB Tarnby
0 : 2
Nykobing
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