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Holstebro vs Avarta

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kaihoj L.
15' Event
Eslund M.
34' Event
Iversen A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2024/2025 game between Holstebro and Avarta finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Holstebro
15%
Draws
42%
Avarta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holstebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Holstebro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Holstebro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 11%
Avarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Avarta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.87 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:5
May 3, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
6:3
Nov 10, 2024 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iversen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaihoj L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Avarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Eslund M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 35 / 100
Avarta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Avarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstebro scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Avarta has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Avarta has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS Avarta
1.63 Goals Scored 0.4
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.4
100% Over 1.5 60%
100% Over 2.5 20%
100% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
22 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 1
Helsingor
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Avarta

(Away)
25 Aug
Avarta
0 : 4
Hillerod
04 Aug
Gentofte-Vangede
0 : 2
Avarta
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
05 Aug
Raklev
2 : 0
Avarta
14 Jun
Young Boys FD
0 : 1
Avarta
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