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Holstebro vs Avarta

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kaihoj L.
15' Event
Eslund M.
34' Event
Iversen A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2024/2025 game between Holstebro and Avarta finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Holstebro
40%
Draws
29%
Avarta
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Holstebro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%
Avarta Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Avarta
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:5
May 3, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
6:3
Nov 10, 2024 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iversen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaihoj L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Avarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Eslund M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 30 / 100
Avarta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Avarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avarta let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Holstebro found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Holstebro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS Avarta
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
01 Aug
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 3
Holstebro
23 Jul
Skive
2 : 2
Holstebro
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
21 Feb
Holstebro
1 : 5
Thisted FC
07 Feb
Skive
5 : 0
Holstebro
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Avarta

(Away)
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
05 Aug
Raklev
2 : 0
Avarta
14 Jun
Young Boys FD
0 : 1
Avarta
06 Jun
Avarta
1 : 1
Sundby
30 May
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
1 : 1
Avarta
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