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Holstebro vs Horsholm-Usserod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holstebro host Horsholm-Usserod in the 3rd Division. Horsholm-Usserod go into this one as the clear favorite. Horsholm-Usserod have shipped 2.06 goals a game lately, while Holstebro have conceded 2.62 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Holstebro have won 1 to Horsholm-Usserod's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Horsholm-Usserod to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Holstebro
15%
Draws
59%
Horsholm-Usserod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horsholm-Usserod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holstebro lately — more wins on the board than Horsholm-Usserod.
  • Win probability leans Horsholm-Usserod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 20%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Horsholm-Usserod
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Holstebro
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 10 / 100
Horsholm-Usserod 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Horsholm-Usserod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsholm-Usserod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsholm-Usserod has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Holstebro found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Holstebro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS Horsholm-Usserod
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
10 Oct
Holstebro
2 : 4
Bronshoj
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
26 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 3
Ishoj IF
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
Page 1 of 6

Horsholm-Usserod

(Away)
10 Oct
Ringsted
2 : 4
Horsholm-Usserod
03 Oct
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Helsingor
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Horsholm-Usserod
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 11 7 2 2 26:18 23
2 Bronshoj 11 6 4 1 22:12 22
3 Vanlose 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
4 Helsingor 11 6 2 3 20:15 20
5 Naesby 11 5 2 4 20:16 17
6 ASA Aarhus 11 5 1 5 15:16 16
7 Horsholm-Usserod 11 4 3 4 24:21 15
8 Holstebro 11 4 1 6 18:26 13
9 BK Frem 11 3 3 5 19:19 12
10 Ishoj IF 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
11 Sundby 11 3 1 7 16:19 10
12 Ringsted 11 1 2 8 15:31 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)