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Holstebro vs Sundby

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tonnesen M.
15' Event
Iversen A.
17' Event
Iversen A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2024/2025 game between Holstebro and Sundby finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Holstebro
20%
Draws
44%
Sundby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sundby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sundby come out ahead of Holstebro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Holstebro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 14%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstebro Sundby
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.74 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Sundby
4:1
Apr 26, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Sundby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonnesen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iversen A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Demirovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstebro 31 / 100
Sundby 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstebro Sundby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holstebro scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sundby let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

Recent resilience: Holstebro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holstebro VS Sundby
1.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
83% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstebro

(Home)
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
01 Aug
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 3
Holstebro
23 Jul
Skive
2 : 2
Holstebro
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
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Sundby

(Away)
08 Aug
Bronshoj
3 : 1
Sundby
05 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 4
Sundby
01 Aug
Naesby
2 : 1
Sundby
25 Jul
Sundby
2 : 1
Ringsted
21 Jul
Fremad Amager
3 : 1
Sundby
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