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Holstein Kiel II vs Kilia Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein game between Holstein Kiel II and Kilia Kiel finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilia Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Holstein Kiel II
15%
Draws
51%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Holstein Kiel II haven't matched Kilia Kiel's recent run of results.
  • Kilia Kiel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Holstein Kiel II Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel II Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 21 24
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 3.1 3.39
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Kilia Kiel
3:5
Feb 22, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Holstein Kiel II vs Kilia Kiel
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Holstein Kiel II
5:1
May 18, 2024 Regionalliga North
Holstein Kiel II vs Kilia Kiel
3:3
Jan 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Kilia Kiel vs Holstein Kiel II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel II 10 / 100
Kilia Kiel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel II Kilia Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilia Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holstein Kiel II scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Kilia Kiel let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Holstein Kiel II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel II VS Kilia Kiel
3.38 Goals Scored 3.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel II

(Home)
01 Nov
Holstein Kiel II
3 : 5
Kilia Kiel
18 Oct
Holstein Kiel II
5 : 0
Rotenhof
11 Oct
TSB Flensburg
0 : 1
Holstein Kiel II
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel II
4 : 0
Hohenwestedt
27 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 3
Holstein Kiel II
Page 1 of 6

Kilia Kiel

(Away)
01 Nov
Holstein Kiel II
3 : 5
Kilia Kiel
24 Oct
Kilia Kiel
12 : 2
SC Rapid Lubeck
20 Oct
Kilia Kiel
4 : 2
Nordmark Satrup
10 Oct
Kilia Kiel
4 : 2
Lubeck II
03 Oct
Eckernforder SV
1 : 6
Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilia Kiel 15 11 2 2 54:24 35
2 Holstein Kiel II 14 10 2 2 49:20 32
3 VfR Neumunster 15 9 4 2 39:23 31
4 TSB Flensburg 15 8 2 5 38:20 26
5 Rotenhof 15 7 5 3 31:29 26
6 Heider SV 15 7 3 5 30:34 24
7 Eichede 14 5 5 4 29:17 20
8 PSV Neumunster 14 5 4 5 32:27 19
9 Oldenburger SV 15 5 4 6 38:35 19
10 SC Rapid Lubeck 15 6 1 8 31:52 19
11 Kaltenkirchener 15 4 3 8 24:39 15
12 Phonix Lubeck B 15 3 5 7 28:38 14
13 Eckernforder SV 15 4 2 9 25:42 14
14 Hohenwestedt 15 3 4 8 28:38 13
15 Nordmark Satrup 14 3 3 8 16:31 12
16 Lubeck II 15 3 1 11 20:43 10
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)