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Holstein Kiel vs Fredericia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dall E.
38' Event
Hansborg E.
58' Event
Harres P.

AI Match Summary

Fredericia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Holstein Kiel
35%
Draws
32%
Fredericia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fredericia have won more games recently than Holstein Kiel.
  • Win probability leans Holstein Kiel's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 14%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel Fredericia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs Fredericia
1:3
Jul 8, 2011 Club Friendly
Fredericia vs Holstein Kiel
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Harres P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dall E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansborg E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel 41 / 100
Fredericia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel Fredericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Holstein Kiel scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Fredericia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Holstein Kiel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel VS Fredericia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel

(Home)
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2
Holstein Kiel
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Fredericia

(Away)
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
12 Sept
Kolding IF
0 : 0
Fredericia
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Hvidovre IF
2 : 1
Fredericia
26 Aug
Fredericia
1 : 2
Odense
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