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Holstein Kiel vs Servette

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Therkelsen J.
46'
Sub
Ivezic M. In: Roslyng F.
Out: Ivezic M.
46'
Sub
Tolkin J. In: Komenda M.
Out: Tolkin J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Holstein Kiel
20%
Draws
44%
Servette
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Servette

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Servette have won more games recently than Holstein Kiel.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Holstein Kiel taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 16%
Servette Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holstein Kiel Servette
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs Servette
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Therkelsen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Servette Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holstein Kiel 41 / 100
Servette 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holstein Kiel Servette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Holstein Kiel scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Servette has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Holstein Kiel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holstein Kiel VS Servette
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Holstein Kiel

(Home)
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2
Holstein Kiel
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Servette

(Away)
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
13 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 1
Servette
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
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