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Holy Ghost vs Orapa United

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Holy Ghost and Orapa United finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Holy Ghost
35%
Draws
35%
Orapa United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Orapa United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Orapa United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Holy Ghost Clean Sheet 19%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holy Ghost Orapa United
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 5 14
Draws 8 18
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.67 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Premier League
Orapa United vs Holy Ghost
3:0
Jan 28, 2024 Premier League
Holy Ghost vs Orapa United
0:0
Apr 4, 2023 Premier League
Orapa United vs Holy Ghost
1:2
Jan 15, 2023 Premier League
Holy Ghost vs Orapa United
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holy Ghost 24 / 100
Orapa United 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holy Ghost Orapa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orapa United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Holy Ghost went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Holy Ghost found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Orapa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 49% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orapa United
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holy Ghost

(Home)
25 May
Holy Ghost
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
22 May
Matebele
2 : 2
Holy Ghost
18 May
Eleven Angels
1 : 1
Holy Ghost
15 May
Holy Ghost
0 : 4
Township Rollers
08 May
Holy Ghost
1 : 0
Police XI
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Orapa United

(Away)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
12 Sept
Orapa United
0 : 1
Tafic FC
29 Aug
Orapa United
1 : 1
Enesia
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwaneng Galaxy 32 20 5 5 45:17 65
2 Township Rollers 32 19 7 4 52:16 64
3 Gaborone Utd 30 19 6 5 50:20 63
4 Security Systems 31 13 5 12 39:40 44
5 Tafic FC 31 10 8 12 32:37 38
6 VTM FC 31 10 7 13 31:33 37
7 Sua Flamingoes 31 10 6 14 36:32 36
8 BDF XI 32 8 12 10 21:23 36
9 Masitoaka 32 9 9 12 25:29 36
10 Orapa United 32 7 11 12 27:27 32
11 Matebele 32 7 11 12 32:36 32
12 Nico United 32 7 11 12 27:33 32
13 Morupule 32 7 9 14 35:44 30
14 Eleven Angels 32 5 10 15 28:44 25
15 Police XI 31 5 9 16 23:42 24
16 Holy Ghost 31 5 8 17 20:50 23
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)