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Holy Stars vs Medeama

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, Nzema Anyinase
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Mantey M. In: Braye K.
Out: Mantey M.
47'
Sub
Sulemana F. In: Yeboah P.
Out: Sulemana F.
61'
Sub
Simba S. In: Gadeseh L.
Out: Simba S.

AI Match Summary

Medeama in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Medeama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Holy Stars
20%
Draws
44%
Medeama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Medeama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Medeama lately — more wins on the board than Holy Stars.
  • Win probability leans Medeama's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Medeama here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Holy Stars Clean Sheet 17%
Medeama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holy Stars Medeama
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
Medeama vs Holy Stars
4:1
May 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Medeama vs Holy Stars
2:1
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Holy Stars vs Medeama
0:1
Dec 22, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Holy Stars
1:1
Apr 1, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Holy Stars
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holy Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Medeama Compare

Top Goalscorer Braye K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holy Stars 23 / 100
Medeama 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holy Stars Medeama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medeama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holy Stars found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Medeama conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Holy Stars remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holy Stars VS Medeama
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holy Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
20 Sept
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Ashanti
13 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Holy Stars
06 Sept
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
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Medeama

(Away)
04 Oct
Debibi United
0 : 1
Medeama
30 Sept
Medeama
1 : 0
Port City
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
23 Sept
Dreams FC
2 : 2
Medeama
19 Sept
Vision
1 : 1
Medeama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)