Sport Picks
Holyhead vs Caersws FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Holyhead host Caersws FC in the Cymru North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Caersws FC have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Holyhead have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Holyhead have won 3 to Caersws FC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.13) point toward Caersws FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caersws FC have won more games recently than Holyhead.
- Win probability leans Caersws FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holyhead | Caersws FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Holyhead's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Caersws FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Holyhead stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Holyhead
(Home)Caersws FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18:3 | 22 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bala | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:30 | 1 |