Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
Parry D.
69'
69'
Timmis J.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Holyhead and Cefn Druids finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cefn Druids
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cefn Druids come out ahead of Holyhead on wins alone.
- 23% — that's where the model lands on Holyhead taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cefn Druids here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holyhead | Cefn Druids |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Cefn Druids
1:1
Aug 13, 2022 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Holyhead
2:0
Sep 4, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Cefn Druids vs Holyhead
1:0
Oct 12, 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Cefn Druids
0:3
Nov 3, 2007 FAW Welsh Cup
Cefn Druids vs Holyhead
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Holyhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Parry D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Cefn Druids Compare
Top Goalscorer Timmis J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holyhead 85 / 100
Cefn Druids 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holyhead Cefn Druids
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cefn Druids has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Holyhead scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Cefn Druids's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Holyhead VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Holyhead
(Home) 12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0 Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Holyhead
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 4
Cefn Druids
(Away) 15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0 Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2 Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1 Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1 Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0 Cefn Druids
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1 Cefn Druids
25 Feb
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0 Cefn Druids
11 Feb
Colwyn Bay
4 : 1 Cefn Druids
04 Feb
Mold Alexandra
3 : 4 Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colwyn Bay | 30 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 101:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Holywell Town FC | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 75:22 | 79 |
| 3 | Llandudno FC | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 70:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Guilsfield | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Ruthin Town | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Prestatyn | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 66:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Cefn Druids | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | Buckley | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 53:61 | 42 |
| 9 | Mold Alexandra | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 41:52 | 35 |
| 10 | Gresford | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Porthmadog | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 36:53 | 33 |
| 12 | Llanidloes Town | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 42:63 | 27 |
| 13 | Chirk AAA FC | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 32:49 | 26 |
| 14 | Conwy Borough | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 33:64 | 23 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 31:72 | 16 |
| 16 | Holyhead | 30 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 24:69 | 15 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)
