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Holyhead vs Guilsfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
O'Donnell J.
64' Event
Knott R.

AI Match Summary

Guilsfield in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guilsfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Holyhead
20%
Draws
57%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guilsfield lately — more wins on the board than Holyhead.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Guilsfield taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guilsfield here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 11%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Guilsfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Holyhead
3:1
Apr 1, 2023 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Holyhead
4:0
Feb 25, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Donnell J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knott R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 10 / 100
Guilsfield 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Guilsfield conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Holyhead went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Guilsfield
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
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Guilsfield

(Away)
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
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