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Holyhead vs Guilsfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Williams C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Guilsfield finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Holyhead
20%
Draws
57%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Guilsfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Guilsfield taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guilsfield have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 11%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Guilsfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Holyhead
3:1
Apr 1, 2023 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Holyhead
4:0
Feb 25, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guilsfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 10 / 100
Guilsfield 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guilsfield let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Holyhead remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Guilsfield
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Guilsfield

(Away)
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)