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Holyhead vs Guilsfield

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Williams C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Holyhead and Guilsfield finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Holyhead
17%
Draws
13%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Guilsfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Holyhead taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Guilsfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Holyhead
3:1
Apr 1, 2023 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Holyhead
4:0
Feb 25, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
0:4
Dec 18, 2021 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Guilsfield
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guilsfield Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 67 / 100
Guilsfield 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guilsfield let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Holyhead stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Holyhead scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Guilsfield
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
03 Apr
Flint Mountain
1 : 2
Holyhead
31 Mar
Denbigh
1 : 1
Holyhead
28 Mar
Holyhead
2 : 0
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

Guilsfield

(Away)
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Gresford
11 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 1
Caersws FC
06 Apr
Llandudno FC
4 : 1
Guilsfield
03 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 2
Guilsfield
28 Mar
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423
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