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Holyhead vs Newtown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Holyhead Logo

Holyhead

0 - 1
FT
Newtown Logo

Newtown

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Hyne J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newtown in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
64%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newtown lately — more wins on the board than Holyhead.
  • Win probability leans Newtown's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Newtown
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Newtown
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru North
Newtown vs Holyhead
1:0
Oct 3, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Newtown
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyne J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 14 / 100
Newtown 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Newtown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Holyhead has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS Newtown
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Newtown

(Away)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)