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Holyhead vs Penycae FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2013/2014 game between Holyhead and Penycae FC finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
36%
Penycae FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Holyhead a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru Alliance 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holyhead have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Penycae FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.48 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.45 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Penycae FC
2:0
Nov 15, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Holyhead
0:2
Jan 11, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Penycae FC
4:3
Sep 14, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Holyhead
1:4
May 6, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Holyhead
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 85 / 100
Penycae FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Penycae FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penycae FC let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Holyhead scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Penycae FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
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Penycae FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Rhos Aelwyd
08 Oct
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Guilsfield
17 Sept
Trearddur Bay
1 : 5
Penycae FC
19 Oct
Bangor 1876
4 : 3
Penycae FC
20 Oct
Penycae FC
0 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cefn Druids 30 22 7 1 90:20 73
2 Conwy Borough 30 19 6 5 66:35 63
3 Caernarfon 30 18 8 4 79:33 62
4 Caersws FC 30 17 10 3 56:32 61
5 Llandudno FC 30 12 9 9 55:42 45
6 Guilsfield 30 10 12 8 44:41 42
7 Porthmadog 30 12 6 12 55:53 42
8 Flint Town 30 12 5 13 46:53 41
9 Holyhead 30 9 10 11 53:57 37
10 Penycae FC 30 10 4 16 47:64 34
11 Rhayader 30 8 9 13 41:60 33
12 Buckley 30 6 13 11 41:54 31
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 6 16 44:63 30
14 Rhydymwyn 30 8 4 18 32:64 28
15 Penrhyncoch 30 5 8 17 35:58 23
16 Llanrhaeadr 30 5 1 24 32:87 13
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