Sport Picks
Holyhead vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru North 
Match Events
9'
9'
Williams N.
19'
19'
Williams J. L.
49'
49'
Ellis O.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru North game between Holyhead and Porthmadog finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porthmadog
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Porthmadog come out ahead of Holyhead on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Porthmadog taking it.
- Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holyhead | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Porthmadog
2:2
Jan 20, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Porthmadog
1:2
Sep 23, 2022 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Holyhead
1:1
Feb 16, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Holyhead
2:0
Sep 26, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Porthmadog
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Holyhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams J. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Porthmadog Compare
Top Goalscorer Ellis O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Summers-Jones D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holyhead 10 / 100
Porthmadog 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holyhead Porthmadog
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Porthmadog conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
Holyhead scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Holyhead went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Holyhead VS Porthmadog
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Holyhead
(Home) 02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4 Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2 Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0 Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2 Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Porthmadog
(Away) 03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3 Porthmadog
15 Aug
Buckley
1 : 1 Porthmadog
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18:3 | 22 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bala | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
