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Holyhead vs Rhayader - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2014/2015
Holyhead Logo

Holyhead

1 - 0
FT
Rhayader Logo

Rhayader

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 game between Holyhead and Rhayader finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Holyhead
15%
Draws
36%
Rhayader
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holyhead come out ahead of Rhayader on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Holyhead's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 20%
Rhayader Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holyhead Rhayader
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Rhayader
3:0
Sep 19, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Holyhead
0:4
Jan 10, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Rhayader
1:0
Sep 6, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Holyhead
3:2
Apr 5, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Rhayader
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holyhead 58 / 100
Rhayader 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holyhead Rhayader

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhayader let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Holyhead scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Rhayader lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holyhead VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holyhead

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Rhayader

(Away)
20 Sept
Rhayader
1 : 4
Cefn Cribwr
07 Oct
Cwmamman United
3 : 1
Rhayader
05 Nov
Rhayader
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
04 Oct
Rhayader
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
07 May
Rhayader
0 : 4
Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 22 5 3 96:27 71
2 Caernarfon 30 20 6 4 82:25 66
3 Guilsfield 30 19 6 5 68:33 63
4 Buckley 30 15 7 8 69:47 52
5 Holyhead 30 15 6 9 49:38 51
6 Porthmadog 30 15 5 10 63:35 50
7 Denbigh 30 14 6 10 54:51 48
8 Caersws FC 30 13 8 9 61:47 47
9 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 58:49 44
10 Flint Town 30 13 5 12 39:45 44
11 Conwy Borough 30 12 5 13 52:46 41
12 Rhayader 30 8 6 16 42:53 30
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 5 17 55:78 29
14 Penycae FC 30 6 4 20 46:78 22
15 Llandrindod 30 5 3 22 32:103 18
16 Rhydymwyn 30 1 0 29 21:132 3
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)