Sport Picks
Holywell Town FC vs Barry Town
Wales
Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell 
Match Events
16'
16'
Hughes C.
24'
24'
Yonsian F.
25'
25'
Sub
Hewitt I. In: Davies O.
Out: Hewitt I.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Holywell Town FC and Barry Town finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barry Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barry Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Barry Town come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Barry Town here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holywell Town FC | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Barry Town
1:3
Mar 19, 1999 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Barry Town
2:3
Nov 6, 1998 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Holywell Town FC
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Holywell Town FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hughes C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Barry Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Dugan E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brain O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holywell Town FC 34 / 100
Barry Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holywell Town FC Barry Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barry Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Holywell Town FC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.
Barry Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.
Difficult form: Barry Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Holywell Town FC VS Barry Town
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Holywell Town FC
(Home) 26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 3
Barry Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 8 | Llandudno FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford Town | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12:36 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
