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Holywell Town FC vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
Holywell Town FC Logo

Holywell Town FC

0 - 5
FT
Colwyn Bay Logo

Colwyn Bay

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hill M.
21' Event
Davies J.
35' Event
Sirrell L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Holywell Town FC and Colwyn Bay finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Holywell Town FC
15%
Draws
78%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Colwyn Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Colwyn Bay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Colwyn Bay have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Colwyn Bay
0:5
Mar 25, 2025 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Colwyn Bay
0:2
Aug 6, 2024 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Holywell Town FC
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Holywell Town FC
1:3
Aug 12, 2022 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Colwyn Bay
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hill M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Colwyn Bay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Colwyn Bay has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Holywell Town FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS Colwyn Bay
1.13 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 7

Colwyn Bay

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)