Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Holywell Town FC vs Knighton Town

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holywell Town FC in this FA Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 6-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Holywell Town FC
28%
Draws
22%
Knighton Town
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Holywell Town FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC have won more games recently than Knighton Town.
  • Holywell Town FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Holywell Town FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Holywell Town FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 18%
Knighton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Knighton Town
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 14 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 FA Cup
Holywell Town FC vs Knighton Town
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 49 / 100
Knighton Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Knighton Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Knighton Town conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Holywell Town FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Holywell Town FC VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Holywell Town FC

(Home)
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Mold Alexandra
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Holywell Town FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0
Newtown
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Knighton Town

(Away)
31 Oct
Holywell Town FC
6 : 3
Knighton Town
03 Oct
Nantlle Vale FC
1 : 2
Knighton Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Denbigh3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay1
Cefn Albion3
Conwy Borough5
Aberdare Town3
Cwmbach Royal Stars0
Briton Ferry2
Barry Town3
Cefn Druids4
Gresford0
Bow Street1
Porthmadog3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
Flint Town4
Carno FC0
Berriew FC1
Rhostyllen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Llantwit Fardre0
Pontypridd United0
Penybont2
Garden Village2
Rhayader1
Ton Pentre0
STM Sports4
Holywell Town FC1
Ruthin Town0
Nantlle Vale FC1
Knighton Town2
Caerleon2
Treharris Athletic1
Butetown FC1
Afan Lido5
Buckley1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix0
Gwalchmai0
Mold Alexandra3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Prestatyn3
Corwen2
Hawarden Rangers0
Llanfair United4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli6
Panteg3
Llwydcoed0
Cambrian United3
Brecon Corinthians1
Aberaeron0
Risca United2
Aberbargoed Buds3
Goytre Utd4
Monmouth2
Undy0
Caerau Ely4
Goytre AFC2
Llantwit Major0
Cwmbran Town1
Dinas Powys4
Llandudno Junction6
Caersws FC1
Llanrug2
Caernarfon3
Penrhyncoch5
Aberffraw0
Waterloo Rovers1
Trearddur Bay7
West End3
Treowen2
Llandrindod0
Cwmbran Celtic3
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chirk AAA FC5
Prestatyn Sports0
Pentraeth0
Holyhead8
Guilsfield4
Glantraeth FC2
Queens Park0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC2
Caldicot2
Ebbw Vale F.C.1
Taffs Well1
Cwmamman United2
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
1/32-finals
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Denbigh4
Conwy Borough1
Aberdare Town2
Barry Town7
Cefn Druids2
Porthmadog0
TBD-
Rhyl-
Flint Town2
Rhostyllen0
TBD-
Newtown-
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Penybont2
Garden Village1
STM Sports4
Holywell Town FC6
Knighton Town3
Caerleon0
Afan Lido2
Buckley1
Mold Alexandra0
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Prestatyn5
Llanfair United3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Port Talbot-
TBD-
Llanelli0
Cambrian United2
Brecon Corinthians3
Aberbargoed Buds0
Goytre Utd1
Caerau Ely4
Goytre AFC4
Dinas Powys1
Llandudno Junction0
Caernarfon4
Penrhyncoch4
Trearddur Bay0
West End2
Cwmbran Celtic3
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
Chirk AAA FC0
Holyhead4
Guilsfield3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC2
Caldicot2
Cwmamman United4
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
1/16-finals
TNS3
Aberystwyth0
Denbigh1
Barry Town6
Cefn Druids1
Rhyl0
Flint Town0
Newtown2
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
STM Sports0
Holywell Town FC0
Afan Lido1
Buckley1
Llandudno FC0
Prestatyn0
Connahs Q.3
Port Talbot2
Cambrian United1
Brecon Corinthians0
Caerau Ely4
Goytre AFC4
Caernarfon2
Penrhyncoch2
Cwmbran Celtic3
Bala3
Carmarthen Town1
Bangor City1
Holyhead2
Guilsfield3
Cwmamman United0
Haverfordwest0
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
1/8-finals
TNS5
Barry Town2
Cefn Druids0
Newtown6
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Afan Lido0
Buckley1
Connahs Q.4
Port Talbot3
Caerau Ely0
Goytre AFC3
Cwmbran Celtic5
Bala3
Holyhead1
Guilsfield0
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Quarter-finals
TNS1
Newtown0
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Connahs Q.2
Port Talbot2
Cwmbran Celtic1
Bala0
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Semi-finals
TNS5
Connahs Q.0
Port Talbot0
Airbus UK Broughton FC7
Final
TNS2
Airbus UK Broughton FC0