Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Sullivan D.
38'
38'
Forbes D.
51'
51'
Kamilo B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Holywell Town FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Holywell Town FC come out ahead of Llay Welfare on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Holywell Town FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Holywell Town FC, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Holywell Town FC here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 19%
Llay Welfare Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holywell Town FC | Llay Welfare |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 26, 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Llay Welfare
2:0
Aug 23, 2024 Cymru North
Llay Welfare vs Holywell Town FC
2:5
Aug 3, 2024 League Cup
Holywell Town FC vs Llay Welfare
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Holywell Town FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Sullivan D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forbes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Llay Welfare Compare
Top Goalscorer Kamilo B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holywell Town FC 36 / 100
Llay Welfare 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holywell Town FC Llay Welfare
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Holywell Town FC's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Llay Welfare let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Holywell Town FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Holywell Town FC VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Holywell Town FC
(Home) 10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Mold Alexandra
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2 Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Holywell Town FC
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0 Newtown
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3 Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 7
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Mold Alexandra
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0 Newtown
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3 Airbus UK Broughton FC
14 Mar
Holywell Town FC
3 : 1 Caersws FC
27 Feb
Holywell Town FC
5 : 1 Denbigh
Page 1 of 4
Llay Welfare
(Away) 22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0 Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Guilsfield
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0 Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0 Llay Welfare
22 Mar
Caersws FC
3 : 2 Llay Welfare
11 Mar
Penrhyncoch
1 : 0 Llay Welfare
08 Mar
Ruthin Town
3 : 1 Llay Welfare
25 Jan
Mold Alexandra
4 : 1 Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Prestatyn1
Buckley5
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Colwyn Bay-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Llandudno FC3
Newport0
Penrhyncoch0
Guilsfield3
Cardiff U213
Afan Lido1
TBD-
Pontypridd United-
Taffs Well1
Merthyr Town3
TBD-
Ammanford Town-
Llantwit Major2
Newport City0
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Penrhiwceiber Rangers1
Goytre Utd4
Caerau Ely2
Trefelin1
Cwmbran Celtic2
Trethomas Bluebirds3
Baglan Dragons2
Swansea U211
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
Briton Ferry-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont-
Carmarthen Town2
Cambrian United1
TBD-
Haverfordwest-
Flint Mountain0
Gresford3
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Mold Alexandra2
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
Flint Town-
Ruthin Town2
Bangor 18761
TBD-
Bala-
Caersws FC0
Holywell Town FC1
Llay Welfare3
Denbigh1
1/16-finals
Buckley0
Connahs Q.3
Newtown2
Caernarfon3
Colwyn Bay0
Aberystwyth2
Llandudno FC3
Guilsfield2
Cardiff U213
Pontypridd United1
Merthyr Town2
Ammanford Town0
Llantwit Major2
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Goytre Utd3
Caerau Ely2
Trethomas Bluebirds3
Baglan Dragons1
Barry Town2
Llanelli1
Briton Ferry0
Penybont3
Carmarthen Town0
Haverfordwest5
Gresford1
Airbus UK Broughton FC4
TNS5
Flint Town1
Ruthin Town0
Bala1
Holywell Town FC3
Llay Welfare1
1/8-finals
Connahs Q.3
Caernarfon2
Aberystwyth3
Llandudno FC2
Cardiff U212
Merthyr Town1
Cardiff Metropolitan University9
Goytre Utd1
Trethomas Bluebirds1
Barry Town4
Penybont1
Haverfordwest0
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
TNS1
Bala2
Holywell Town FC0
Quarter-finals
Connahs Q.1
Aberystwyth2
Cardiff U213
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Barry Town3
Penybont2
TNS3
Bala1
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth2
Cardiff U211
Barry Town1
TNS2
Final
Aberystwyth0
TNS1