Sport Picks
Holywell Town FC vs Trefelin Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru Premier Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell 
Match Events
48'
48'
Tierney J.
61'
61'
Phillips L.
67'
67'
Sub
Phillips L. In: Horgan-Evans D.
Out: Phillips L.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Holywell Town FC and Trefelin finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Trefelin carry the better recent record into this one.
- Trefelin are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 12%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Holywell Town FC | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Trefelin
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Holywell Town FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Phillips L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Holywell Town FC 27 / 100
Trefelin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Holywell Town FC Trefelin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trefelin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Holywell Town FC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Trefelin has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Trefelin has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Holywell Town FC VS Trefelin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Holywell Town FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 3
Trefelin
(Away) 03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0 Trefelin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
