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Home Farm vs Bonagee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Home Farm host Bonagee in the National League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bonagee have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Home Farm have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Home Farm have won 0 to Bonagee's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.81) back Home Farm to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Home Farm
30%
Draws
6%
Bonagee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Home Farm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Home Farm lately — more wins on the board than Bonagee.
  • Win probability leans Home Farm's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Home Farm Clean Sheet 11%
Bonagee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Home Farm Bonagee
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League
Bonagee vs Home Farm
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Home Farm 83 / 100
Bonagee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Home Farm Bonagee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Home Farm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bonagee conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Home Farm went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Home Farm scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Home Farm VS Bonagee
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Home Farm

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Home Farm
4 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Cockhill
0 : 2
Home Farm
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
Page 1 of 6

Bonagee

(Away)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Aug
Bonagee
0 : 4
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CK United FC 5 3 2 0 12:8 11
2 Villa FC 4 3 1 0 16:6 10
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams