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Home Farm vs St Francis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 1997/1998
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 1997/1998 game between Home Farm and St Francis finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Home Farm
35%
Draws
20%
St Francis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Home Farm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Home Farm carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Home Farm a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 1997/1998 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Home Farm have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Home Farm Clean Sheet 16%
St Francis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Home Farm St Francis
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 1999 Division 1
Home Farm vs St Francis
2:0
Jan 29, 1999 Division 1
St Francis vs Home Farm
0:1
Nov 22, 1998 Division 1
Home Farm vs St Francis
3:2
Sep 27, 1998 Division 1
St Francis vs Home Farm
1:2
Apr 19, 1998 Division 1
St Francis vs Home Farm
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Home Farm 84 / 100
St Francis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Home Farm St Francis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Home Farm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St Francis conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Home Farm went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Home Farm found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Home Farm VS St Francis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Home Farm

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Home Farm
4 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Cockhill
0 : 2
Home Farm
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
Page 1 of 6

St Francis

(Away)
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0
St Francis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waterford 27 18 6 3 35:17 60
2 Bray 27 17 3 7 51:21 54
3 Limerick 27 14 8 5 41:25 50
4 Galway United 27 13 4 10 38:29 43
5 Home Farm 27 9 11 7 28:22 38
6 Cobh Ramblers 27 10 5 12 32:41 35
7 Athlone 27 8 7 12 31:37 31
8 St Francis 27 7 8 12 29:40 29
9 Monaghan United 27 6 4 17 26:44 22
10 Longford 27 2 6 19 12:47 12
Promotion - Premier Division 1998/1999 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 1997/1998 (Promotion)