Sport Picks
Home Stars vs True Democracy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ghana
Division One League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Home Stars in this Division One League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Home Stars.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: True Democracy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to True Democracy lately — more wins on the board than Home Stars.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Home Stars have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Home Stars Clean Sheet 20%
True Democracy Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Home Stars | True Democracy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Division One League
Home Stars vs True Democracy
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Division One League
True Democracy vs Home Stars
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Division One League
True Democracy vs Home Stars
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Division One League
Home Stars vs True Democracy
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Home Stars 32 / 100
True Democracy 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Home Stars True Democracy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick True Democracy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Home Stars's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
True Democracy has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Home Stars stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Home Stars VS True Democracy
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Home Stars
(Home) 02 Oct
7th Wave
0 : 0 Home Stars
27 Sept
WAFA
1 : 1 Home Stars
20 Sept
Home Stars
0 : 0 Hakla SC
16 May
Home Stars
0 : 1 Okwawu United
09 May
Great Olympics
2 : 0 Home Stars
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Home Stars
0 : 0 Hakla SC
16 May
Home Stars
0 : 1 Okwawu United
03 May
Home Stars
1 : 1 Golden Warriors
12 Apr
Home Stars
0 : 1 Nania
29 Mar
Home Stars
1 : 0 True Democracy
Page 1 of 3
True Democracy
(Away) 04 Oct
Great Olympics
1 : 2 True Democracy
27 Sept
True Democracy
0 : 0 Kotoku Royals
18 Sept
7th Wave
1 : 1 True Democracy
15 May
Attram de Visser
2 : 1 True Democracy
09 May
True Democracy
1 : 0 Port City
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Great Olympics
1 : 2 True Democracy
18 Sept
7th Wave
1 : 1 True Democracy
15 May
Attram de Visser
2 : 1 True Democracy
02 May
Na God
1 : 0 True Democracy
12 Apr
International Allies
2 : 1 True Democracy
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashanti | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:22 | 64 |
| 2 | Ebusua | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 38:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Nsuopun Fidelity FC | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 41:28 | 51 |
| 4 | Sefwi All Stars | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 30:33 | 47 |
| 5 | Pac Academy | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:28 | 45 |
| 6 | Rospak | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 42:33 | 44 |
| 7 | Future Stars | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 8 | King Faisal | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:33 | 40 |
| 9 | Skyy | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 39:32 | 39 |
| 10 | Ebony FC | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 25:29 | 39 |
| 11 | Soccer Intellectuals | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 23:30 | 38 |
| 12 | New Edubiase | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 28:28 | 37 |
| 13 | Elmina Sharks | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 14 | Police National | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 25:32 | 35 |
| 15 | Eleven | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 19:46 | 29 |
| 16 | UCC Youngsters | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 31:52 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port City | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 46:17 | 65 |
| 2 | Semper FI FC | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 45:22 | 58 |
| 3 | Attram de Visser | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 45:23 | 54 |
| 4 | WAFA | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 5 | True Democracy | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 34:29 | 42 |
| 6 | Home Stars | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 24:21 | 42 |
| 7 | Great Olympics | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:32 | 41 |
| 8 | Hakla SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:35 | 39 |
| 9 | Nania | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 21:24 | 39 |
| 10 | International Allies | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38:38 | 38 |
| 11 | Golden Kick | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:34 | 38 |
| 12 | Okwawu United | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 33:41 | 38 |
| 13 | Accra Lions | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34:34 | 37 |
| 14 | Golden Warriors | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | 34 |
| 15 | Na God | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 16 | Great Ambitions | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 16:67 | 11 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamale City | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 39:24 | 55 |
| 2 | Real Tamale | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38:21 | 47 |
| 3 | Wa Power | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 34:31 | 42 |
| 4 | Sankara Nationals FC | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 5 | Yapei | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:35 | 35 |
| 6 | Bolga AllStars | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 40:45 | 34 |
| 7 | Northern City | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 42:44 | 32 |
| 8 | TF Exponential FC | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24:47 | 26 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Debibi United | 28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 53:19 | 60 |
| 2 | VC Warriors | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43:28 | 46 |
| 3 | KAC Soccer | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 39:31 | 44 |
| 4 | Dormaa Unity | 28 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 57:51 | 43 |
| 5 | Mighty Royals | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 47:45 | 43 |
| 6 | Techiman Liberty | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 41 |
| 7 | Berekum Arsenal | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 42:57 | 28 |
| 8 | Legon Cities | 28 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 26:76 | 14 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
