Sport Picks
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Ittihad Aleppo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
AFC Challenge League 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the AFC Challenge League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Homs Al Fidaa at 1.9 goals for, 0.45 against; Al Ittihad Aleppo at 2.72 for, 0.86 against. Head-to-head, Homs Al Fidaa have won 3 to Al Ittihad Aleppo's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Homs Al Fidaa. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Homs Al Fidaa have managed 1.9 goals a game lately — Al Ittihad Aleppo are scoring more at 2.72.
- Homs Al Fidaa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Homs Al Fidaa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Homs Al Fidaa | Al Ittihad Aleppo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 2.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.45 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Homs Al Fidaa scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Homs Al Fidaa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Al Ittihad Aleppo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
