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Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Jaish

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Homs Al Fidaa and Al Jaish finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Homs Al Fidaa
6%
Draws
4%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Homs Al Fidaa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Homs Al Fidaa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Homs Al Fidaa Al Jaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:3
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Jaish
0:0
Jun 4, 2025 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Jaish
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Jaish
1:1
Oct 27, 2023 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Homs Al Fidaa 85 / 100
Al Jaish 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Homs Al Fidaa Al Jaish

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Homs Al Fidaa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Homs Al Fidaa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Al Jaish's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Homs Al Fidaa VS Al Jaish
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117