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Honduras U17 vs Saint Martin U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup U17 2025 Estadio Francisco Morazán, San Pedro Sula
Honduras U17 Logo

Honduras U17

3 - 1
FT
Saint Martin U17 Logo

Saint Martin U17

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Arriola Y.
20' Event
Flores D.
68' Event
Martin E.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Honduras U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Honduras U17
15%
Draws
42%
Saint Martin U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honduras U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Honduras U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Honduras U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Honduras U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Honduras U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Saint Martin U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras U17 Saint Martin U17
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 15 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.59 0.81
Goals Conceded 2 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.85 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2025 World Cup U17
Honduras U17 vs Saint Martin U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honduras U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arriola Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.19
Avg xA / game 1.43

Saint Martin U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras U17 31 / 100
Saint Martin U17 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras U17 Saint Martin U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras U17 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Saint Martin U17 let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Saint Martin U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honduras U17 VS Saint Martin U17
3.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Honduras U17

(Home)
12 Feb
Honduras U17
2 : 0
Bermuda U17
09 Feb
Guyana U17
2 : 4
Honduras U17
10 Nov
Honduras U17
1 : 2
Indonesia U17
07 Nov
Zambia U17
5 : 2
Honduras U17
04 Nov
Brazil U17
7 : 0
Honduras U17
Page 1 of 6

Saint Martin U17

(Away)
12 Feb
Saint Martin U17
0 : 6
Barbados U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Trinidad & Tobago U17
1 : 0
Saint Martin U17
03 Feb
Saint Martin U17
3 : 0
Sint Maarten U17
15 Feb
Bonaire U17
1 : 4
Saint Martin U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 4 4 0 0 28:2 12
2 Curacao U17 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
3 Bermuda U17 4 2 0 2 10:14 6
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U17 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
5 Anguilla U17 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Guyana U17 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 British Virgin Islands U17 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sint Maarten U17 4 0 0 4 0:28 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
2 Nicaragua U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
3 Barbados U17 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Belize U17 4 1 0 3 10:8 3
5 Dominica U17 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Saint Martin U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bonaire U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U17 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guatemala U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Antigua and Barbuda U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 31:0 9
2 Cuba U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 3 1 0 2 10:12 3
4 United States Virgin Islands U17 3 0 0 3 5:37 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U17 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Dominican Republic U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Aruba U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Grenada U17 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Jamaica U17 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Saint Lucia U17 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Cayman Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:23 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)