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World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles

Antigua and Barbuda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Honduras play Antigua and Barbuda in the World Championship 2026. Honduras are favorites here. Recently, Honduras averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Antigua and Barbuda averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Honduras won 1, Antigua and Barbuda won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Honduras and 0.81 for Antigua and Barbuda. This points to a Honduras double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Honduras

19%

Draws

20%

Antigua and Barbuda

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Honduras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Honduras picked up more points recently compared to Antigua and Barbuda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Honduras Clean Sheet 26%

Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Honduras	Antigua and Barbuda
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	15	6
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	19
Goals Scored	1.56	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.19	2.37
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 World Championship

Honduras vs Antigua and Barbuda

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honduras Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vega Orellana A. N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Antigua and Barbuda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras 60 / 100

Antigua and Barbuda 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Honduras Antigua and Barbuda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras Win (1)

Secondary Pick Honduras & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Honduras attacking → ← attacking Antigua and Barbuda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Antigua and Barbuda let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Honduras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Antigua and Barbuda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 23

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Honduras	4	4	0	0	12:2	12
2	Bermuda	4	2	1	1	9:8	7
3	Cuba	4	2	0	2	6:5	6
4	Cayman Islands	4	1	0	3	1:9	3
5	Antigua and Barbuda	4	0	1	3	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Costa Rica	4	4	0	0	17:1	12
2	Trinidad & Tobago	4	2	1	1	16:7	7
3	Grenada	4	2	1	1	11:7	7
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	4	1	0	3	5:13	3
5	Bahamas	4	0	0	4	1:22	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Curacao	4	4	0	0	15:2	12
2	Haiti	4	3	0	1	11:7	9
3	Saint Lucia	4	1	1	2	5:9	4
4	Aruba	4	0	2	2	3:10	2
5	Barbados	4	0	1	3	4:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Panama	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	Nicaragua	4	3	1	9:4	9
3	Guyana	4	2	2	6:4	6
4	Montserrat	4	1	3	3:10	3
5	Belize	4	0	4	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Jamaica	4	4	0	8:2	12
2	Guatemala	4	3	1	13:5	9
3	Dominican Republic	4	2	2	11:5	6
4	Dominica	4	1	3	5:14	3
5	British Virgin Islands	4	0	4	0:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suriname	4	3	1	0	10:2	10
2	El Salvador	4	2	2	0	7:2	8
3	Puerto Rico	4	2	1	1	10:2	7
4	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	4	1	0	3	9:9	3
5	Anguilla	4	0	0	4	0:21	0