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Stadium Background

Honduras vs Cuba

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Reyes M.
Assist: Paradela L.
26' Event
Lozano C.
Assist: Palma L.
45' Event
Rodriguez E.
Assist: Lozano C.

AI Match Summary

Honduras in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Honduras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Honduras
35%
Draws
40%
Cuba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Honduras lately — more wins on the board than Cuba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Honduras Clean Sheet 20%
Cuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras Cuba
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.56 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2024 World Championship
Honduras vs Cuba
3:1
Oct 16, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Honduras vs Cuba
4:0
Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Honduras
0:0
Dec 16, 2015 Friendly International
Honduras vs Cuba
2:0
Aug 13, 2014 Friendly International
Honduras vs Cuba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honduras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras 36 / 100
Cuba 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cuba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Honduras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honduras VS Cuba
1 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Honduras

(Home)
07 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Honduras
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Honduras
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
14 Oct
Honduras
3 : 0
Haiti
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Cuba

(Away)
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
11 Oct
Grenada
2 : 0
Cuba
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)