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Honduras vs Jamaica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
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Match Events

27' Event
Campbell T.
Assist: Freckleton M.
50'
Ming K.
51' Event
Palma L.
Assist: Portillo J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Honduras and Jamaica finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Honduras
30%
Draws
47%
Jamaica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jamaica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jamaica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Honduras Clean Sheet 20%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honduras Jamaica
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 17 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Honduras vs Jamaica
1:1
Sep 29, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Jamaica vs Honduras
0:1
Oct 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Jamaica vs Honduras
0:0
Sep 11, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Honduras vs Jamaica
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Jamaica vs Honduras
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honduras Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Jamaica Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honduras 32 / 100
Jamaica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honduras Jamaica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honduras scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Jamaica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 51% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Honduras remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Honduras VS Jamaica
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Honduras

(Home)
06 Oct
Honduras
1 : 1
Jamaica
03 Oct
Martinique
2 : 1
Honduras
29 Sept
Jamaica
0 : 1
Honduras
26 Sept
Honduras
2 : 3
Suriname
07 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Honduras
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Jamaica

(Away)
06 Oct
Honduras
1 : 1
Jamaica
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Jamaica
0 : 1
Honduras
26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2
Guatemala
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)