Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honefoss vs Grorud

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 2 Hønefoss Stadion, Hønefoss
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Honefoss host Grorud in the Division 2 - Group 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Grorud have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Honefoss have conceded 1.72 and scored 2.63. Past meetings favor Grorud slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.81) point toward Honefoss. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Honefoss
15%
Draws
36%
Grorud
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honefoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Honefoss have won more games recently than Grorud.
  • Win probability leans Honefoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Honefoss Clean Sheet 11%
Grorud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss Grorud
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Grorud vs Honefoss
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Grorud vs Honefoss
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Group 2
Honefoss vs Grorud
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Group 2
Grorud vs Honefoss
5:1
Mar 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Honefoss vs Grorud
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss 83 / 100
Grorud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss Grorud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honefoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honefoss's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Grorud let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Honefoss has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss VS Grorud
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Honefoss

(Home)
16 Aug
Stjordals Blink
4 : 2
Honefoss
08 Aug
Honefoss
9 : 1
Ull/Kisa
01 Aug
Lorenskog
1 : 3
Honefoss
25 Jul
Honefoss
3 : 1
Skeid
27 Jun
Kjelsas
1 : 3
Honefoss
Page 1 of 7

Grorud

(Away)
08 Aug
Trygg/Lade
0 : 1
Grorud
01 Aug
Skeid
1 : 5
Grorud
25 Jul
Grorud
0 : 1
Stjordals Blink
27 Jun
Lorenskog
1 : 0
Grorud
21 Jun
Grorud
3 : 0
Junkeren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 16 12 2 2 41:14 38
2 Kjelsas 16 12 1 3 36:21 37
3 Levanger 16 11 0 5 35:19 33
4 Honefoss 16 10 2 4 44:24 32
5 Grorud 15 8 2 5 24:15 26
6 Lorenskog 16 8 2 6 27:24 26
7 Stjordals Blink 16 7 2 7 29:28 23
8 Tromsdalen (TUIL) 15 7 2 6 24:27 23
9 Rana FK 15 6 2 7 27:28 20
10 Junkeren 16 6 2 8 22:28 20
11 Skeid 16 4 1 11 22:34 13
12 Ull/Kisa 16 3 1 12 21:54 10
13 Follo 15 2 3 10 16:32 9
14 Trygg/Lade 16 2 2 12 19:39 8
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)