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Honefoss vs Notodden

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Holte S.
29' Event
Pedersen B.
71' Event
Wenneberg M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Honefoss and Notodden finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Honefoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Honefoss
40%
Draws
29%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Notodden haven't matched Honefoss's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Honefoss Clean Sheet 16%
Notodden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss Notodden
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Honefoss vs Notodden
3:1
Mar 5, 2021 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Honefoss
0:0
Jul 16, 2017 Division 2 - Group 2
Notodden vs Honefoss
1:2
Apr 17, 2017 Division 2 - Group 2
Honefoss vs Notodden
2:2
Sep 27, 2009 OBOS-ligaen
Notodden vs Honefoss
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honefoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Holte S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedersen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Wenneberg M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss 31 / 100
Notodden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honefoss scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Notodden has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Honefoss remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss VS Notodden
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%