Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honefoss vs Notodden

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Holte S.
29' Event
Pedersen B.
71' Event
Wenneberg M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Honefoss and Notodden finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Honefoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Honefoss
30%
Draws
31%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Honefoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Notodden haven't matched Honefoss's recent run of results.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Honefoss Clean Sheet 14%
Notodden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss Notodden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.72 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Honefoss vs Notodden
3:1
Mar 5, 2021 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Honefoss
0:0
Jul 16, 2017 Division 2 - Group 2
Notodden vs Honefoss
1:2
Apr 17, 2017 Division 2 - Group 2
Honefoss vs Notodden
2:2
Sep 27, 2009 OBOS-ligaen
Notodden vs Honefoss
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honefoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Holte S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedersen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Wenneberg M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss 35 / 100
Notodden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notodden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Honefoss scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Honefoss has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Notodden conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss VS Notodden
3.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Honefoss

(Home)
12 Sept
Honefoss
1 : 1
Grorud
06 Sept
Trygg/Lade
2 : 3
Honefoss
30 Aug
Honefoss
2 : 1
Follo
22 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 4
Honefoss
16 Aug
Stjordals Blink
4 : 2
Honefoss
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Notodden

(Away)
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Kvik Halden
0 : 0
Notodden
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
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