Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Honefoss W vs Aalesund W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Hønefoss Stadion, Hønefoss
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Sunde K.
65'
Sub
Blindheim E. In: Gudnadottir D.
Out: Blindheim E.
69'
Sub
Bjerksaeter S. In: Anderdal A.
Out: Bjerksaeter S.

AI Match Summary

Aalesund W in this Toppserien Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalesund W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Honefoss W
30%
Draws
39%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Aalesund W have won more games recently than Honefoss W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Honefoss W Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss W Aalesund W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 23
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.32 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Aalesund W
0:1
May 15, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Honefoss W
2:0
May 21, 2025 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Honefoss W
2:3
Nov 2, 2024 Division 1 Women
Honefoss W vs Aalesund W
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Honefoss W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honefoss W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunde K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss W 34 / 100
Aalesund W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss W Aalesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Honefoss W scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Aalesund W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Honefoss W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss W VS Aalesund W
0.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Honefoss W

(Home)
04 Oct
Honefoss W
3 : 0
Bodo/Glimt W
26 Sept
Lyn W
1 : 1
Honefoss W
19 Sept
Honefoss W
0 : 0
Roa W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
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Aalesund W

(Away)
04 Oct
Brann W
1 : 2
Aalesund W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)