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Hong Kong U17 vs Northern Mariana Islands U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hong Kong U17 play Northern Mariana Islands U17 in the AFC Asian Cup U17. Hong Kong U17 are favorites here. Recently, Hong Kong U17 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 3.31 conceded. Northern Mariana Islands U17 averaged 0.09 goals scored and 10.09 conceded. In past meetings, Hong Kong U17 won 1, Northern Mariana Islands U17 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Hong Kong U17 and 2.38 for Northern Mariana Islands U17. This points to a Hong Kong U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Hong Kong U17
15%
Draws
17%
Northern Mariana Islands U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Hong Kong U17 picked up more points recently compared to Northern Mariana Islands U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Hong Kong U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Mariana Islands U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong U17 Northern Mariana Islands U17
Matches Played 13 11
Wins 4 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.09
Goals Conceded 3.31 10.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.63 9.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Hong Kong U17 vs Northern Mariana Islands U17
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong U17 63 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands U17 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong U17 Northern Mariana Islands U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hong Kong U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hong Kong U17 attacking → ← attacking Northern Mariana Islands U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong U17 scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Northern Mariana Islands U17 let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hong Kong U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Mariana Islands U17 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 0
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
4.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 9.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1China U17550042:015
2Bangladesh U17540120:512
3Bahrain U17530216:79
4Timor-Leste U1752034:236
5Sri Lanka U1751046:173
6Brunei U1750050:360
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Yemen U17550024:315
2Laos U17530219:99
3Pakistan U17530219:99
4Kyrgyzstan U17530216:79
5Cambodia U1751047:153
6Guam U1750051:430
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vietnam U17550030:015
2Malaysia U17540121:512
3Hong Kong U1752127:47
4Singapore U1751225:115
5Macau U1751133:124
6Northern Mariana Islands U1750051:350
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1India U1742116:57
2Iran U17421110:47
3Lebanon U1741304:26
4Palestine U1741216:65
5Chinese Taipei U1740132:111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U17431013:310
2Iraq U1742209:78
3Jordan U17421113:47
4Bhutan U1740130:91
5Philippines U1740133:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thailand U17430116:49
2Turkmenistan U17430115:59
3Kuwait U17430111:39
4Mongolia U1741033:153
5Maldives U1740041:190
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Myanmar U17431011:310
2Oman U17430112:39
3Syria U17421110:87
4Afghanistan U1741034:103
5Nepal U1740042:150